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Risk/Reward Doesn't Look Great; Top Goldman Trader Warns Market In "Latter Innings" Of Forced Re-Levering

As we detailed here, markets rallied sharply on a US-China trade deal, Goldman Sachs noted that global equities on the Prime book saw the second largest notional net buying in 5 years (+4.3 Z score), driven by short covers and to a lesser extent long buys (1.6 to 1).  All regions were net bought, led by North America and to a lesser extent Europe (both led by short covers).

risk reward doesnt look great top goldman trader warns market in latter innings of forced re levering

The market was propelled higher in the US by beta/AI (Middle East deals) while defensives and bonds proxies lagged across the board...

via May 14th 2025