VIX Crushed As Curve & Commodities Scream Recession; Banks Skid, Big-Tech Bid

Solid US housing data was offset by weak Chicago Fed National Activity Index data, poor labor market signals (claims), dismal LEIs, and ugly Kansas City Fed Manufacturing data as a wave for hawkish central bank action prompted an odd assortment of actions across asset classes - dollar strength, yield curve compression, VIX hammered lower, long-duration stocks bid, commodities and bonds dumped, banks sold, bitcoin flat.

Nasdaq strongly outperformed with Small Caps lagging (huge 2% divergence) as The Dow ended flat with the S&P green...

vix crushed as curve commodities scream recession banks skid big tech bid

As that pairs trade surged back up to recent highs...

vix crushed as curve commodities scream recession banks skid big tech bid

Another day, another dump and pump for 'most shorted' stocks - though we note the strength of the bounce is getting weaker...

vix crushed as curve commodities scream recession banks skid big tech bid

Source: Bloomberg

0-DTE traders fought the uptrend in Nasdaq all day... and failed...

vix crushed as curve commodities scream recession banks skid big tech bid

Source: SpotGamma

But, VIX was clubbed like a baby seal, hitting a 12 handle intraday....

vix crushed as curve commodities scream recession banks skid big tech bid

Banks extended their losses on the week (after the surge in deposit outflows reported last Friday)...

vix crushed as curve commodities scream recession banks skid big tech bid

Treasuries were dumped across the curve - up around 7-8bps - leaving all yields higher on the week with the short-end underperforming on the week...

vix crushed as curve commodities scream recession banks skid big tech bid

Source: Bloomberg

The yield curve compression continues to signal recession (along with all the macro data above)...

vix crushed as curve commodities scream recession banks skid big tech bid

Source: Bloomberg

The dollar surged back today, erasing yesterday's weakness...

vix crushed as curve commodities scream recession banks skid big tech bid

Source: Bloomberg

The dollar gains weighed on gold which tumbled to fresh 3 month lows...

vix crushed as curve commodities scream recession banks skid big tech bid

Finally, we note that NVDA was red on the day, having gone nowhere for a week...

vix crushed as curve commodities scream recession banks skid big tech bid

Makes you wonder eh?

vix crushed as curve commodities scream recession banks skid big tech bid

Or is that just too easy?

Authored by Tyler Durden via ZeroHedge June 22nd 2023