India to kick off one of the world's largest Covid vaccination drives this weekend
Bangalore Airport workers transfer carton boxes containing vials of Covishield vaccine developed by the Serum Institute of India in Bangalore, India, Jan. 12, 2021.Stringer | Xinhua | Getty ImagesSINGAPORE — India is gearing up for one of the largest mass vaccination exercises in the world starting Saturday.
The South Asian country plans to inoculate some 300 million people, or more than 20% of its 1.3 billion population, against Covid-19 in the first phase of the exercise.
Indian airlines have started delivering the first doses of vaccines to Delhi and other major cities, including Kolkata, Ahmedabad and tech hub Bengaluru, tweeted Civil Aviation Minister Hardeep Singh Puri earlier this week.
Priority for the shots will be given to health-care and other frontline workers — an estimated 30 million people. That would be followed by those above 50 years of age and other younger, high-risk individuals.
The rollout will involve close collaboration between the central government and states.
India has also developed a digital portal called Co-WIN Vaccine Delivery Management System. It will provide real-time information on "vaccine stocks, their storage temperature and individualized tracking of beneficiaries," according to the health ministry.
India has a long history of immunization campaigns ... and will rely on this expertise to distribute coronavirus vaccines.Akhil BeryEurasia Group
"India's expertise in vaccine manufacturing and experience with mass immunization campaigns has prepared it well for 'phase 1' vaccinations set to begin this weekend," Akhil Bery, South Asia analyst at Eurasia Group, wrote in a report this week.
"India has a long history of immunization campaigns, including its Universal Immunization Program that inoculates 55 million a year, and will rely on this expertise to distribute coronavirus vaccines," he added.
Emergency approval
India's drug regulator has approved the restricted use of two coronavirus vaccines in emergency situations, both of which are being delivered to the various inoculation centers ahead of Saturday.
One of them is a vaccine developed by British-Swedish firm AstraZeneca and Oxford University, which is being manufactured domestically by the Serum Institute of India (SII) and is known locally as Covishield.
Another vaccine, called Covaxin, wasdeveloped domestically by India's Bharat Biotech in collaboration with the state-run Indian Council of Medical Research. It was granted emergency use authorization as clinical trials continue.
The approval of Covaxin was reportedly criticized by some as the regulator gave the green light shortly after asking Bharat Biotech for more analysis.
India's health secretary on Tuesday said the Indian government has signed procurement agreements for 11 million doses of Covishield at 200 Indian rupees ($2.74) per doseand 5.5 million doses of Covaxin at an average cost of 206 rupees per shot, which is likely to be cheaper than what they will cost in the private market.
Several other candidates, including a second domestically developed vaccine by Zydus Cadila, are undergoing clinical trials.
Potential risks
India currently has more than 10.5 million reported coronavirus cases, second only to the United States. More than 151,000 people have died from Covid-19 in India, according to Johns Hopkins University data. But daily reported figures show the number of active infection cases are declining.
South Asia's largest country is also the world's biggest vaccine manufacturer and is said to produce about 60% of all vaccines sold globally.
As such, India's production of Covid vaccines is expected to play a major role in global immunization drives against the disease.
VIDEO1:4401:44Here are the hurdles for distributing the Covid vaccine in emerging marketsSquawk on the StreetEurasia Group's Bery said that despite the government's optimism, two important risks may potentially slow the rollout of the vaccination campaign.
"First, vaccine production capacity will be limited even in best-case scenarios," he said, adding that if the local vaccine-makers cannot produce the 600 million doses required to inoculate the initial 300 million people, then "India's immunization timeline — and its export of vaccines to other countries — could be significantly delayed."
The second risk is that India's vaccine campaign will rely heavily on state governments "whose capacities and expertise vary widely," Bery said. "Effective coordination will be needed between the central and state governments, something that has not been (Prime Minister Narendra) Modi's strong point."