Micro Trumps Macro As Stocks Shrug Off Week Of Higher Inflation, Higher Rates, & Lower Growth

It was an ugly macro week...

micro trumps macro as stocks shrug off week of higher inflation higher rates lower growth

Source: Bloomberg

...and worse still, 'growth' surprises disappointed significantly while 'inflation' surprises surprised to the upside significantly...

micro trumps macro as stocks shrug off week of higher inflation higher rates lower growth

Source: Bloomberg

Soaring inflation expectations sent rate-cut expectations to new cycle lows...

micro trumps macro as stocks shrug off week of higher inflation higher rates lower growth

Source: Bloomberg

...pushing yields higher across the board (led by the long-end)...

micro trumps macro as stocks shrug off week of higher inflation higher rates lower growth

Source: Bloomberg

But, stocks didn't care about any of that because a handful of mega-cap tech stocks' earnings were awesome (except META) - and that's what matters (for now)...

micro trumps macro as stocks shrug off week of higher inflation higher rates lower growth

Source: Bloomberg

Nasdaq outperformed, up 4% on the week (its best week since the start of Nov 2023). The Dow was the laggard on the week but all the majors had a decent week...

micro trumps macro as stocks shrug off week of higher inflation higher rates lower growth

Not the best week for some observers...

This week saw the biggest short-squeeze since the first week of March...

micro trumps macro as stocks shrug off week of higher inflation higher rates lower growth

Source: Bloomberg

And the basket of Magnificent 7 stocks soared over 5% this week, its best week since the first week of November (Fed Pivot) - but it was noisy as TSLA surged, META tumbled, and then GOOGL/MSFT lifted the lid...

micro trumps macro as stocks shrug off week of higher inflation higher rates lower growth

Source: Bloomberg

TSLA pushed back above $500BN market cap this week and Alphabet soared above $2TN market cap for the first time ever...

micro trumps macro as stocks shrug off week of higher inflation higher rates lower growth

Source: Bloomberg

Tech and Discretionary outperformed on the week with Energy and Materials lagging (but all sectors ended the week green)...

micro trumps macro as stocks shrug off week of higher inflation higher rates lower growth

Source: Bloomberg

5.00% remains the Maginot Line for the 2Y Yield...

micro trumps macro as stocks shrug off week of higher inflation higher rates lower growth

Source: Bloomberg

Interestingly, the dollar ended the week practically unchanged - despite a lot of noise...

micro trumps macro as stocks shrug off week of higher inflation higher rates lower growth

Source: Bloomberg

...despite the seventh straight week of declines in the yen vs the dollar as it appears the BoJ and MoF have given up...

micro trumps macro as stocks shrug off week of higher inflation higher rates lower growth

Source: Bloomberg

Gold was dumped this week - its worst week since the start of December 2023. Spot prices did find support at $2300 though...

micro trumps macro as stocks shrug off week of higher inflation higher rates lower growth

Source: Bloomberg

After two down weeks, oil prices rallied this week, with WTI back above $83...

micro trumps macro as stocks shrug off week of higher inflation higher rates lower growth

Source: Bloomberg

Finally, intraday volatility has picked up dramatically in the last couple of weeks...

micro trumps macro as stocks shrug off week of higher inflation higher rates lower growth

Source: Bloomberg

...as the distribution of possible rate outcomes has picked up significantly. Don't forget next week's QRA and FOMC as Yellen and Powell get 'back to work'.

Authored by Tyler Durden via ZeroHedge April 26th 2024